← Research · Part 8 of 10

Two different questions

The first decision, and it determines everything after it.

 DirectedUndirected
Is there a target?Yes — something specific we are trying to predictNo — we are looking for structure that is already there
The question sounds likeWhich customers will leave in the next hundred days?What natural groups exist among our customers?
Typical methodsDecision trees, logistic and multiple regressionCluster analysis, association rules
Who decides if it workedThe data. Test it against cases held backYou do. Are the groups meaningful to the business?

That last row is the one that matters. A clustering will always produce clusters. Whether they correspond to anything real is a judgment, and only somebody who understands the business can make it.

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