← Research · Part 8 of 10
Two different questions
The first decision, and it determines everything after it.
| Directed | Undirected | |
|---|---|---|
| Is there a target? | Yes — something specific we are trying to predict | No — we are looking for structure that is already there |
| The question sounds like | Which customers will leave in the next hundred days? | What natural groups exist among our customers? |
| Typical methods | Decision trees, logistic and multiple regression | Cluster analysis, association rules |
| Who decides if it worked | The data. Test it against cases held back | You do. Are the groups meaningful to the business? |
That last row is the one that matters. A clustering will always produce clusters. Whether they correspond to anything real is a judgment, and only somebody who understands the business can make it.
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